Join us on Tuesday, May 13th at 6pm EST via Microsoft Teams for not only Section updates and opportunities, but to also hear from the ASQ Reliability & Risk Division Vice Chair, David Auda, who will be talking to us about Decision Theory.
Presentation Summary
Risk, probability, likelihood, chance and uncertainty are some common terms found in the language of the reliability/quality practitioner. Things like choice, judgment, belief, opinion and decision are often implicit in practice. These implicit processes are actually what drive the step-wise procession through such things as a project, an experiment, a causal investigation, a preventive risk assessment and life in general. Improved visibility and consideration of these various processes can improve their effectiveness which then brings a more favorable result.
Individuals who are leading efforts, especially those who are facilitating groups in pursuit of things like root cause(s), risk assessment(s), predictive analysis, etc. will benefit from learning more about their personal decision-making modality. This increase in awareness in one’s own decision making also brings into consideration the decision-making styles of others. These ‘others’ can be managers, directors, subordinates, peers, etc. and of course invariably includes people like significant others, children, parents, acquaintances, etc.
This presentation includes an Introduction to formal decision theory, insights into our neurobiology and an assessment of our personal heuristics and biases that will give new insights into the way one can improve upon decision making and as a natural consequence, improve upon the results delivered by those decisions.
About the Speaker
David is a senior safety engineer with over 40 years of interdisciplinary experience in a variety of industries, including but not limited to, aerospace, sensitized goods manufacture, instrument development, energy, medical devices, automotive and heavy equipment. David is an ASQ certified Reliability engineer and Quality Manager, an honors graduate of RIT with an undergraduate BSEE degree with masters level study in Applied Statistics and Reliability. David is an ASQ Fellow, ASQ validated trainer and volunteer leader, vice chair of the ASQ Reliability Division. David’s interest in Decision Theory stems from his development of training in areas of Risk Prevention, Causal Attribution and Evidence Based Analysis. David has been a past workshop leader with Aerojet Rocketdyne’s In2: In Thinking Series on the topic of “Thinking, Metacognition and Emotional Sabotage” and a frequent presenter at international conferences and symposia on various Reliability related topics.